AGRI COMMODITY MARKET OUTLOOK
Soybean
Soybean May futures see a steep
fall of 2% on Tuesday due to long liquidation on anticipation of lower demand
by the market participants at higher levels. The open interest too decline by 7500
tonnes. As per Agmarknet, arrivals of soybean during Apr 1- 25 is 2,32,853
tonnes while during in Mar it was about 2,83,644 tonnes during same time frame.
As per latest SEA data, Soymeal exports from the country jumped by 137% to
916,306 tonnes in 2016/17 Vs 387,298 tonnes during last financial year 2015/16,
however, m/m the exports have declined to 107,059 tonnes in Mar compared to
207,977 tonnes in Feb 2017.
Refine Soy Oil
Refined soy oil futures fell on
Tuesday tracking steep fall in soybean prices in the domestic market. There is
good supplies and steady demand in domestic market. The prices have been
trading in a range since one month on good supplies. As per SEA data, soy oil
imports for March down more that 28.5% Y/Y to 2.3 lt and down 8.7 lt m/m.
Meanwhile, government lowered base import price for the fifth consecutive
fortnight for crude soyoil by $14 to $770 per tonnes for second half of April.
Jeera
Jeera May futures corrected for
the second successive day on Friday on profit booking but closed higher for the
week on lower production estimates by Gujarat Agriculture Department in its 3rd
advance estimates for 2016/17. As per third advance estimates for 2016/17,
production of Jeera in Gujarat revised down to 2.12 lt, down 4% from its 2nd
estimates and almost 11% compared to last year production of 2.38 lt. The
arrivals have been lower during the first half of current month compared to
second half of last month. As per Agmarknet data, during first half of April
about 16,441 tonnes of jeera arrived compared to 22,108 during second half of
last month. On the export front, country the exports increase by 32.7% to
1,01,188 tonnes in first 10 month of marketing year 2016/17 as per the data
release by Dept of commerce, GOI.
Turmeric
NCDEX Turmeric prices recover for
the third successive session on Friday on lower arrivals and steady increase in
demand at lower levels. Turmeric arrivals in the country is declining in first
20 days in April to 66,025 tonnes (Apr 1-20) compared to 1,15,768 tonnes during
the same period in March, as per the Agmarknet data. On the export front,
country exported about 89,704 tonnes during April-Jan period, up by 28.3%
compared to last year exports of 69,870 tonnes, as per government data. There
are expectations of improved demand in coming weeks as prices are lower.
AGRI COMMODITY MARKET LEVELS
JEERA
P. POINT-19,400
S1 - 19200 R1 -19700
S2 –19000 R2 -19900
SOYABEAN
P. POINT-2986
S1 - 2960 R1-3020
S2 - 2930 R2-3065
CORIANDER
P. POINT-6855
S1- 6800 R1-6910
S2- 6750 R2-6970
R.M SEED
P. POINT-3779
S1 - 3750 R1-3780
S2 - 3720 R2-3830
TURMERIC
P. POINT-6220
S1- 6150 R1-6280
S2- 6070 R2-6350